Thinking Deep with Nate McMurray

Nate McMurray has packed up his grievance and delusions and decided to run against one of the most competent technocratic politicians we have enjoyed in countywide government in WNY. Mark Poloncarz is an easy target for the anti-mask, anti-vaxx ignorance brigade, but now he is facing a challenge from young Master Nate from the nominal “left.”

Unsatisfied with having lost elections against an indictee and an insurrectionist, McMurray is going after a guy who actually managed to defeat Chris Collins.

In the coming weeks, we will parse and Fisk Nate’s online ramblings and pronouncements because it is amusing.

Here’s one to start:

Ah, yes. refurbishing the Central Terminal so as to welcome the five people from Seoul who might give enough of a shit to attend a Bills game.

This post scratches two of Nate’s itches at once – that the Bills stadium should be in downtown Buffalo, and that we need some sort of enhanced rail service to Canada. Witness,

So, we actually have rail service to Toronto. The Maple Leaf Express runs from downtown Buffalo, Depew, and Niagara Falls to Toronto. If you’re more adventurous, you can take the Go Train (or Bus with connection in Burlington) from Niagara Falls, ON to Union Station in Toronto. Admittedly, the rail services in this area are somewhat antiquated and slow, but Amtrak has already announced a modernization of its entire fleet.

More to the point, in order for there to be the sort of economic integration that McMurray envisions, you cannot rely simply on free trade but also on free movement of people. You would need a North American Schengen with customs and passport controls harmonized between Canadian and American authorities. (Where have I heard this before?) You would need buy-in from political leaders to assent to what would amount to a dramatic shift in what we understand to be national sovereignty, and the ability of people in Canada and the United States to live and/or work in either country without precondition, emigration, or visa.

The likelihood of this happening is zero.

So, instead, one would reckon that Canadian rail would focus on the introduction of high-speed rail along the Windsor – Quebec City corridor, to incorporate the most populated region in that country. The fact that our more European neighbor has yet to introduce such service is significant. On our side of the border, one would suppose that we might someday see a regional high speed rail system that connects to Acela at Boston and New York, using Albany as a hub. It could extend north to Montreal and west through Utica, Syracuse, Rochester, Buffalo, and Niagara Falls. There, one might someday connect to a Canadian high-speed rail system.

But none of this is within the purview of an Erie County Executive.

Finally, our young propagandist queries,

Mark Poloncarz has been County Executive since 2012. I make that to be 11 years. He was County Comptroller before that, taking office in January 2006. I reckon that to be six years. So, to me, you’re conning people if you’re starting off with exaggerations and lies.

What I can say about Erie County since Poloncarz has been its County Executive is that the population grew for the first time in some 40 years according to the 2020 census. The job market has palpably and objectively improved, and we have a 3.2% unemployment rate, which is not at all bad, historically speaking. Roads have absolutely improved, and ECMC has definitely been improved since the times of Giambra and Collins. Ask the culturals whether their lot has improved since Giambra and Collins.

In the last several years, the housing situation has improved and childhood poverty is down. I don’t know what “we got to lose” but what we stand to lose is a competent, compassionate, and professional executive.

Chaos in #NY23

The first and solitary time that coup-plotting Trumper Chris Jacobs displayed some bravery and bucked his party’s diktats on guns, that party went into overdrive to drum him out of office.

The next thing that soon-to-be-former Congressman Chris Jacobs did was withdraw from the race for election to Congress in the newly drawn NY-23.

Almost literally within a week he went from a profile in courage moment to being the third rich guy named Chris to quit Congress over heat he couldn’t handle. Profile in cowardice.

Because New York isn’t a red state and NY-23, despite how rural it is, (but note it includes Jamestown, Elmira, Olean, Hornell, and second-ring Buffalo suburbs), might just be willing to elect a guy with an (R) after his name even if he says sane things about access to assault weapons. At the very least it was worth a shot. It was worth it for Jacobs to take a principled stand and answer for it.

It would be fundamentally irresponsible for any candidate for any office within the Buffalo media market to not – at a bare minimum – advocate for raising the age to purchase a firearm to 21. Jacobs expressed a willingness to do more than that and for that he earned my praise. Almost as quickly, he reveals how empty his “principles” were.

As usual, Democrats – who have nominated someone you’ve never heard of from a place you may vaguely be able to place on a map – have a huge problem with messaging. It’s so easy for Republicans to take literally any effort to prevent mass shootings and scream about how it’s violative of the 2nd Amendment (regardless of whether that’s true). Democrats have to stress that legislation to prevent teenaged psychopaths from easily obtaining weapons of war is consistent with 2nd Amendment protections. Few freedoms guaranteed in the Constitution are absolute – even speech. So, if the government has the power to ban obscene speech, it has a similar power to declare that an 18 year-old cannot possess an AR-15 to shoot up a school, and a 30 year-old cannot open-carry a rocket-launcher at Wendy’s.

Despite all his prior bad acts and omissions, when it came time for Jacobs to choose between the victims and the killers, he chose the victims. This was, for his party, haram.

But Jacobs will be out at the end of the year, so he becomes a premature lame duck. If only he had staked out a brave and correct position and stuck to it, maybe he could have earned himself some kudos for, e.g., being a party maverick who has met the moment and come out on the right side of an issue that deeply wounded his city.

Yet the Republican Party, even in indigo-blue New York State, has become so extreme, nihilistic, and bloodthirsty that it would rather enable the next mass shooting than piss off its base, the people whom talk radio, Fox News, Trump, and Christian nationalism have brainwashed into thinking that mass killings are an acceptable price to pay for whatever they think “freedom” is.

They’ll tell you it’s everything but guns. It’s doors. It’s security. It’s a need to have armed soldiers in every classroom. It’s mental health. It’s video games. It’s rap music. But schools in other countries have more than one door, they have kids with mental health issues, they have the same video games and music that we do, but what they don’t have is a proliferation of guns. This means that other countries have a different calculus of what “freedom” means, and frankly it means that people are reasonably secure in the knowledge that their kids will go to school and come home alive; that the absence of guns obviates the need for TSA-style school security. Of course, most of these countries have stronger, uniform safety nets so that kids with mental health issues get free or affordable access to the care they need. They also restrict firearms in such a way that 18 year-olds have practically no ability to waltz into a local shop, buy a gun made for waging war, and shoot dozens of random, innocent people.

When the time comes for Republicans to stand up and be counted on things like expanding access to free or affordable care in this country, they refuse. The only thing they’re good for nowadays is backsliding our democracy and the culture wars. Just ask Pizza Hut and the Secret Service. That and enabling more maniacs to buy more guns to do more mass shootings.

Freedom to shop at the grocery store or attend school secure in the knowledge that you won’t get shot dead would seem to be worth advocating for, even if you’re a Republican.

With Jacobs’ departure, the Republicans now have a choice between Nick Langworthy, Carl Paladino, and Marc Cenedella. With idiot vote fraud convict Rus Thompson and his execrable wife running things, Paladino’s campaign is certain to make headlines for the dumbest things possible. Things like Carl posting some conspiracy bullshit on his Facebook page calling the Buffalo and Uvalde massacres a false flag, and when exposed does his best Sergeant Schultz impression. Paladino’s presence in the race is quite literally an insult to everyone’s intelligence. The laundry list of reasons not to consider him is long and wildly uncomplicated.

I wish Democratic candidate Max Della Pia best of luck in getting his message out there. Hopefully he’s known in the Southern Tier, but he has a lot of work to do to get some name recognition in Buffalo. Also one has to hope that no former Democratic candidates for Congress pop out of the woodwork to make a big mess of things like they have, say, on multiple previous occasions.

Just when things start looking a little less bleak, we are showered with bleakness galore.

Williamsville’s Holocaust Hucksters

This is being written directly to the Mayor and Deputy Mayor of Williamsville – Deb Rogers and Dave Sherman.

Shame on you both. You two are nothing more than hucksters who, like many hucksters before you, are using the Holocaust cheaply and disproportionately to advance some sort of contemporary political agenda – in this case, quarantining of people with infectious diseases. Even if a legitimate objection exists, there are literally a million better ways to go about raising them than jumping right to a blatant and stupid violation of Godwin’s Law.

Honestly, the substance of the proposed rule is beside the point. Whether Deb Rogers and Dave Sherman are happy to encounter at Wegmans, say, an “individual health choice” advocate with Ebola who won’t self-isolate is not important here. This is about dumb people using dumb rhetoric to make a dumb point. Literally no one asked the Village of Williamsville what it thought about anything, and all of this was designed specifically to get Deb Rogers in the paper or on Bauerle’s show to whine about the culture war thing du jour.

It goes without saying that in the year of our Lord 2022, two grown adults in a position of governmental authority should not have to be lectured about the facts and nature of the Holocaust from a centenarian survivor of it.

Literally, add that to your resumes – “said something so stupid once that a local Jewish group had to send a 100 year-old Holocaust survivor to explain why what I said was stupid.”

When you compare the quarantining of an Ebola patient with Nazi Germany’s systematic genocide of 11 million innocent European civilians, including 6 million Jews, you are, Deb and Dave, an idiot. A cretin. I’m shocked that you didn’t equate mask mandates with Kristallnacht. I’m even more shocked you have the mental wherewithal to pull your socks up in the morning.

And then after all of this sturm und drang, they did not really apologize.

“So again, for any pain, or embarrassment, I caused anyone – and this gentleman, God bless you, I could never have done what you did – I apologize for creating the wrong impression, or stirring up the wrong emotions,” Sherman said, nodding toward Leibovic.

No, it’s not about the “pain” or “embarrassment” you caused anyone else, Dave Sherman. It’s about the embarrassment you foisted upon yourself with your pathetic rhetoric. It’s about how fundamentally crass and ignorant it is for some corduroyed schmuck to equate a health rule with the slaughter of 11 million people.

As for Mayor Deb,

Mayor Deb Rogers, who at one point left the board room to collect herself, insisted that her own comments from the earlier meeting had been misrepresented, and that she’s received threats as a result.

Rogers said following the discussion that she hoped to work with members of the Jewish organizations on a joint statement, or news conference, to make a show of unity.

“We can all acknowledge that maybe we said some things that we shouldn’t have said. We have learned from those experiences, learned from those mistakes, and we can step forward and be a beacon in the community of getting together,” she said.

Who’s “we”? Why is this being bothsidesed? Why are these people so fundamentally unable or mentally unwilling to simply say that their words were completely inappropriate, that it was the height of stupidity and ignorance to equate any state health regulation with the slaughter of 6 million Jews by the Nazis, and that they are profoundly sorry for their stupidity, ignorance, and inappropriateness, and that they will take time to re-assess their entire lives in the wake of this colossal self-own?

Rogers said it was like Communist China, which is stupid in a whole other way.

Of course, Sherman and Rogers instead see this as a key moment to do the right thing for the community and for healing at this time – cast themselves as victims of “threats.” No one condones threats, obviously, but you’re not the victims here.

They got their phony bloviation, and Williamsville continues its descent into laughingstock territory.

Mychutzpah

Look who’s calling people “racist.” Could it be the same guy who said that immigrants or minorities or people of color would “infest” the town of Hamburg if he lost his race for town supervisor?

And what “troubling warning signs” does this right-wing culture warrior deem worthy of investigation?

From the article he himself posted:

The state police responded. They investigated. They interviewed the subject. And they felt at the time it was appropriate to have that individual brought in for a mental health evaluation

Buffalo police commissioner Joseph Gramaglia

The article goes on to explain that the shooter made a generalized threat against his school last June. The threat was identified and reported. The police responded and investigated. The suspect was interviewed and then sent to the hospital for a mental health evaluation. So, on what planet does Mychajliw get the idea that “NO ONE acted”? Did he not read the article he linked to? And why did he bring up supposed investigations of “moms at school board meetings”? Obviously, we know why – he is still clinging to the Covid fights of yore, but I did not see anything in the NPR piece about moms at Conklin, NY school board meetings being investigated? Did you?

So, while Mychajliw – who is gratifyingly out of public office and is now a full-time right-wing professional propagandist – accuses the “left” of focusing on “feelings + ignor[ing] facts” he offers up feelings and ignores facts. Mychajliw says that the shooter was on police and school radar, and then says the school and police failed to “act”. Yet, according to the article he links to, the system involuntarily hospitalized him in the psych ward. The same guy who says facemasks are tyranny is telling you an involuntary psych hold is a lack of action.

The Republicans in this region have literally the most to answer for, yet they are completely absent from this situation, except for Nick Langworthy dropping some flowers off on Jefferson. Not so much as an effort to get their people to donate food or money to the people most directly victimized by a violence that is at least in part fueled by their rhetoric.

But let’s give Mychajliw the benefit of the doubt – that he is truly concerned about liberals substituting feelings for facts. This kid was investigated and held involuntarily for a mental health evaluation due to threats against his school. Yet he was able to purchase and possess the military hardware that enabled him to commit mass murder in a grocery store, and avoid injury from retired Buffalo cop Aaron Salter, Jr.’s gun. Want to eschew “feelings” and talk about facts? Talk about that.

It’s the Naziism

The moment I heard the terrorist was white and wearing fatigues and a vest, I had a thought and I looked at my watch.

It was the 14th.

I immediately knew there’d be a videostream and an idiot’s manifesto of death. The Christchurch template.

14 is a significant symbolic number among American Nazis. It is the shorthand version of the racist great replacement white grievance propaganda that fascist radio and politicians relentlessly feed their audiences, for profit.

An 18 year-old near Binghamton had easy access to military equipment that enabled him to slaughter almost a dozen innocent people. His Naziistic worldview was fueled by a racist hatred that Rupert Murdoch and his media clones have pushed for years.

When The NY Times exposed Tucker Carlson’s malign role in that, he laughed. They all laugh. They laugh as their audience commits slaughter. Then they condemn any pushback as “woke” and “critical race theory”.

If believing that the right to shop at Tops without fear of being mowed down by a racist assassin trumps the right of an 18 year-old kid to own military hardware is “woke”, then I’m woke.

The 2nd Amendment extremists need this information: that Tops has an armed retired cop working security. He engaged the gunman, who is lucky enough to live in a country that offers over-the-counter bullet-proof vests – and was killed by the terrorist’s modified AR-15, a military weapon sold relatively freely here to homicidal children. So, don’t ever let the “good guy with a gun” pseudo-argument pass your lips again.

But I’ve followed what goes on around here enough to tell you this: ‘he’s not from here” and “he’s from Binghamton” is irrelevant. WNY is a hotbed of fascist and Nazi extremism itself and I was fully expecting to be familiar with the name of this terrorist.

We have bad actors and irresponsible media like WBEN right here that get clout and make bank by spreading the same lazy Naziism this shooter espouses. It’s just a coincidence that this murdering Nazi was from Conklin and not Clarence. Of the many problems, Naziism seems to be the biggest one.

Do they care? Look at Tucker here after the Times exposed him (part 1 and part 2). As long as the checks clear, and black people are slaughtered, Tucker and his ilk think it’s all a big LOL.

Via Twitter

People’s Republic of Williamsville

Dear Comrades! The proletariat of Williamsville have seized power and, through their vanguard party implemented an appropriate dictatorship to bring the bourgeois liberal order to its knees, defenestrate the nobility, and to implement a true worker’s democratic order. Raise the red banner! Cue the Internationale! Long Live the Glorious Revolution!

Or that’s just what the *checks notes* Village Mayor wants you to think.

“I’m just saying I’m embarrassed to be sitting up here with two trustees who, I will say, are nothing short of communists in their ability to vote ‘no’ on this opposition,” Rogers said. “Because this is exactly what we saw happening in communist China, where people were being taken from their homes against their will and placed into quarantine camps.”

Williamsville Mayor Deb Rogers

I’ve spent some time in communist countries and I can think of a few differences right off the top of my head that would disprove Deb Rogers’ theory about the Trotskyite scum people on her village board who oppose her:

  1. Williamsville has a multi-party democratic board of freely elected trustees. This does not happen under communism, where all political power is held by the ruling party, which sets up sham elections with slates of pre-approved party candidates and the electorate is forced to “vote” by checking a “yes” or “no” box. To my knowledge, this has not yet happened in Williamsville.
  2. Williamsville enjoys free enterprise whereby people are able to start and own businesses, exploit the working class hire people, and compete in the marketplace in an effort to make a profit. Under most communist regimes, private enterprise, if allowed at all, is limited to only the smallest mom & pop stores such as barber shops, small restaurants, jewelry, and art. If permitted, these businesses are forced to pay confiscatory taxes, their ability to hire people is severely limited, and direct competition with state-owned enterprises is strictly regulated if permitted.
  3. Williamsville has a free press and, to my knowledge, the editors and writers of the Amherst Bee are not members of the communist party for which the paper is the official organ.
  4. Williamsville has freedom of speech and all of the other freedoms guaranteed by the Constitution of New York and the United States. This is made evident by the way in which Comrade Rogers is free to utter the most obnoxious idiocy without fear of official government sanction therefor.

So we are clear, what Comrade Mayor Rogers is upset about is the idea that people who are suffering from a communicable, transmissible disease, might be ordered by the state to isolate to prevent transmission and epidemic at a place not their home. This is almost exactly like the outcome of the DDR’s Tenth Party Congress in 1981.

Presumably, based on this reported temper tantrum, Comrade Mayor Rogers might consider it to be “communism” for a school to send home a child with lice or strep; that it would be analogous to the Khmer Rouge emptying Phnom Penh of bespectacled citizens and sending them to die in camps for the state Department of Health to ask that people consider other people and take reasonable measures to avoid the preventable spread of infectious diseases, and that the state step in if they refuse.

The proper way for an aggrieved party to seek recourse against what it thinks is a governmental overreach is to file a lawsuit. Oh, look, there’s already one filed. Maybe the nominally “pro-life” bourgeois so-called “Republicans” are happy to have, e.g., an Ebola nurse running around town willy-nilly but that is unlikely to be in the best interests of public health. Then again, public health is a joke anyway, as we don’t have health coverage for every American, and no one gives a crap that we have a Covid positivity rate of 20% locally, or the effect that this has on immunocompromised people and on the economy generally. Glory to the People’s Martyrs who died so you could shop maskless at Target!

For the Village Board of the People’s Republic of Williamsville to pass (or reject) a resolution in opposition to (or support of) a state regulation is an utter and irrelevant waste of time that exists only to let someone grandstand. Comrade Mayor Deb Rogers got her grandstanding moment, and even hurled completely outlandish insults at a couple of trustees who were basically saying that, contrary to the opinions of Titoist bourgeois reactionaries, this was a colossal waste of time and effort. Just like Trotsky and Guevara would have wanted.

May You Live In Interesting Times

The Covid-19 pandemic has taken over six million livesone million in the United States alone. Since its outset, there have been an estimated 448 million cases of Covid-19 since late 2019. Fully 17% of those cases and deaths have been in the U.S. This is unfortunate, since the United States has only about 4.25% of the world’s population. We have overperformed in terms of death, misery, and illness.

The global pandemic has wrought havoc upon societies and economies throughout the world. Similarly situated advanced western democracies have all handled the pandemic in different ways, with varying results. As things began to re-open, economies heated back up again. As things began to re-open, some people did not feel comfortable or eager to return to their pre-pandemic jobs.

That post-emergency economic re-invigoration led to inflation not seen since the 80s. Putin’s criminal war to obliterate and subjugate Ukraine is only going to exacerbate everything, although energy prices seem to have stabilized, for now.

Three million refugees have fled Ukraine, most of them to Poland, and in lesser volume to Hungary, Slovakia, Romania, and Moldova. All of these countries (except Moldova) are in the European Union and are our NATO allies.

Putin thought that he and his active measures over the past 7 years had adequately fractured and weakened western countries, their politics, their economies, their societies, and their alliances. NATO, he thought was weak. The EU, he thought, was feckless. But just as he miscalculated the Ukrainian people’s will to fight and avoid colonization and absorption, he similarly stumbled into awakening a sleepy west. The bickering EU is now united about Ukraine in an unexpected and perhaps unprecedented way. Not even during the Yugoslav conflagration and genocides did the EU act so forcefully and with such unity of purpose.

It was just a few years ago that Donald Trump was stating that NATO was extinct – an anachronism. Certainly, this vocalized doubt played right into the hands of Trump’s BFF Vladimir Putin, but like a lot of things of Trump’s, that hasn’t aged well. Putin managed to do in a couple of weeks what Trump could not do in four years – spur some recalcitrant NATO allies into spending a recommended 2% of GDP on defense. Even Germany sent weapons. Even Orban came on board.

The United Kingdom is doing its bit militarily. Its humanitarian response and willingness to accept Ukrainian refugees, however, is another story altogether. Having imposed sanctions upon itself through its disastrously idiotic, short-sighted, and Russian-spurred, racism-fueled Brexit, Blighty stands alone as a humanitarian afterthought in Europe. The Republic of Ireland, which is further west, smaller, and poorer, is doing more. The United States is completely absent on the Ukrainian refugee issue, to its shame.

This brings us to another issue – for years the same right-wing AM radio agitators have spewed vitriol at refugees fleeing failed Central American mafia states as an “invasion” of unwanted illegal aliens. I challenge anyone to explain to me the difference between a Honduran fleeing for his life from gang warfare, a Syrian fleeing for her life from ISIS or from Russian bombing, and a Ukrainian fleeing for her life from Russian bombing. I challenge these mentally deranged wretches to explain how a young family escaping a failed state in this hemisphere is an “invasion” while we see an actual invasion play out on TV every night in Ukraine.

Where are the Honduran children’s tanks?

Which apartment blocks in El Paso have the Guatemalan women shelled?

These same talk radio and neo-fascist cable news buffoons who equate refugees in the Western Hemisphere as “illegal invaders” almost uniformly express support for Putin. This is a topic briefly covered in this piece.

Let’s be honest – pluralist democracy is out of fashion with a solid third of the country. The Trump personality cult continues on, expressed by the types of people who are seemingly on the march right now in many corners of suburbia – the “freedom truckers” and anti-CRT/LGBTQ+ school board disruptors and OG Covid Deniers / Let’s Go Brandon / FJB / Trump desperados. They are united by a few key tenets, not the least of which include a desire to live under a one-party dictatorship with Donald Trump as president-for-life, and the rest of it amounting to “owning the libs.” While under Trump the “cruelty was the point” now they lazily defend the January 6th insurrection and abandon the principles upon which our government was founded, pledging fealty not to America but to the supreme leader.

To the Trumpists, the supreme leader is the country and the country is the supreme leader. Anyone else is a traitor shitlib communist who must be silenced or owned. This is not hyperbole: I am essentially paraphrasing what I hear from not a few current members of Congress.

On the other side we have the glib leftists who go out of their way to avoid condemnation of Putin and Russia and twist themselves like a pretzel to make it all about how NATO is bad. Literally a week or so ago there was a notice of a communist-led anti-NATO protest here in Buffalo that could not even be bothered to pay lip service to solidarity with Ukrainians – most of them working class people – who are being displaced or killed at the hands of a lunatic dictator. “No war” it said, demanding that NATO cut it out right this minute.

So, we have Putin’s useful idiots on the right, who would re-make America in Russia’s image. Nothing would own the libs more than a domestic version of OMON special police banning free speech or a megalomaniacal President-for-life having his mildest critics murdered, tortured, or exiled. And we have Putin’s useful idiots on the left, who do his bidding by blaming America for Putin’s invasion and demanding the weakening of the western democracies’ defensive alliance.

If the last few weeks have taught Europe any lessons, it is just how valuable NATO membership can be to avoid being bombed into the stone age by Russian bombs, missiles, and artillery.

We also have a unique phenomenon, mainly in nominally leftist journalistic cliques – I’m looking at you, Glenn Greenwald, Michael Tracey, and Buffalo’s own Matt Taibbi – that is the “anti-anti-Putin”. This hilariously transparent pro-Putinist, right-wing ethos plays itself out in podcasts and videos and Substack posts that do not directly demean the US or NATO or Ukraine, but instead attempt to be clever by demeaning shitlib opposition to Putin and his war. It is Elon Musk mocking the western world’s shock and horror at Russian war crimes. It is clumsy Assadist Tulsi Gabbard giving oxygen to Kremlin propaganda about biological labs. It is the jokes about Greenwald’s “whom I do not support” as echoed by the brilliant Times Pitchbot. The sane western world has no use for this sort of obvious nonsense. At least Trump has the self-awareness to be honest about his love of Putin.

Suffice it to say that it is not the same thing for Google to deplatform RT as it is for Putin to prosecute an anti-war protester for a felony.

One does not have to look too far in the past to remember what Russian oppression feels like to a Romanian, a Hungarian, a Czech or Slovak, or a Pole. Russian tanks rolled through Budapest and Warsaw and Prague all in the last 60 years. Ceausescu was as much a ruthless megalomaniacal madman as Putin. It is Ceausescu’s fate that Putin fears most.

In the few years starting in the summer of 1989, the peoples of Eastern Europe rose up to smash the relentlessly oppressive, illiberal regimes that imprisoned them. How did that start? Hungary – which was ironically then among the more liberal of the Warsaw Pact countries – threw open its border with Austria. This open door in the Iron Curtain resulted in Czechoslovaks and East Germans – who could travel within the Pact countries with relative ease – pouring through Hungary looking to end up in the west. By September it was reality, and within weeks this led to the fall of every communist regime in Europe, in their own time. In the intervening 30 years, Hungary, the DDR, Czechoslovakia, Poland, Romania, and Bulgaria all switched from secret police and command economies to the EU and free markets. Even Hoxha’s hermit Albania is free. Yugoslavia paid for its freedom in blood, and there remains a lot of unfinished business there.

The Soviet Union went away in 1991, and its results have been mixed. Ukraine has yo-yoed between emulating Poland or Belarus in terms of its connections with Russia. Like Croatia in the 90s, Ukraine’s future freedom and democracy is now being paid for in blood. It is no accident that the Baltic states of Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia – all three of which shared SSR status with Ukraine in the old days – rushed to join the EU and NATO as quickly as possible. It is because these countries know that to be aligned with Russia is a mistake. These countries understand that Russia’s constant tug-of-war between what were once called the Westernizers and the Slavophiles remains unresolved, and as long as the latter has a shot at power, they remain under threat.

Stated roughly, Yeltsin was not really much of a Westernizer and Putin isn’t really much of a Slavophile, but each played one on TV. In reality, Russia simply traded one mafia state – based on allegiance to the Communist Party – to another based on fealty to the supreme leader. The USSR’s oligarchs didn’t have billions of dollars to spend on London townhomes and megayachts, but the Party’s apparatchiks and “nomenklatura,” enjoyed all of that era’s power, prestige, and perks, (save the occasional purge). The trappings of democracy were mere window-dressing. Russia’s current oligarchs have money and prestige linked directly to their relationship with Putin, and their willingness to serve the state’s needs when called. Never has political or economic power devolved from the Russian elite to the Russian people. Not after 1917, 1924, 1953, or 1991.

Perhaps now is the time for that to happen. Maybe this cataclysm in Ukraine will eventually lead to liberty and democratic change in Russia and her vassal states. Wishful thinking, but maybe Russia will someday decide that building up its own economy and infrastructure is preferable to conquering neighboring states that are minding their own business. Ukraine was never a threat to Russia, but the opposite is true, as we know from 2014 until today.

One hopes that Ukraine will come out on the other side of this war with its territory intact, its government free, and its ability to choose its associations and alliances unfettered by the preferences of malign exterior forces. There is no reason why Ukraine could not be like its western neighbors, but for Russian interference. Russia does not liberate, it subjugates.

When the history is written on this crisis, you’ll be grateful to look back and know that you were on the side of freedom and pluralist democracy and not on the side of neofascist imperialist personality cults. And to those who back the latter, the rest of us will remember.

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